Artificial
intelligence is catching up to humans. A new, military-funded artificial
intelligence can generate new ideas as quickly and accurately as a human can.
Brenden M. Lake, Ruslan Salakhutdinov, and Joshua B. Tenenbaum presented the
Bayesian Program Learning framework, or BPL for short, in a paper published by
the journal Science.
BPL is said to classify
objects and generate ideas using just a single data point. To put BPL to the
test, they showed BPL along with several participants 20 handwritten characters
from 10 different alphabets. They then are asked to match the letter to the
same character written by someone else. BPL scored a 97%, about the same as the
other human participants, not to mention much better than previous algorithms.
What’s even more amazing is that BPL also passed a visual form of the Turing
Test. BPL was asked to draw letters that most humans couldn’t distinguish from
another human’s writing.
An early form of this
kind of AI dates back to 1997, when Gail A. Carpenter and Stephen Grossberg
published a paper on adaptive resonance theory, or ART. Their model was based
on a human’s neural network and, while learning quickly, was limited to simple
pattern recognition. BPL, on the other hand, uses actual reasoning to infer why
the data is the way it is.
If the reports are true,
this could be a huge breakthrough in military surveillance, as indicated by the
numerous military donors to the project such as the Air Force Office of
Scientific Research, the Office of Naval Research, DARPA (Defense Advanced
Research Projects Agency), and IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Agency).
Pentagon leaders have
been discussing the use of this kind of Artificial Intelligence in surveillance
missions, where teams might fly for over 6,000 hours before deciding to strike
a specific target. Of course the BPL is not in condition yet to fully replace
pilots. “A lot of things will have to be done that involve expertise that none
of us have” says Tenenbaum. Advances in this AI could also lead to far more
capable drones, faster intelligence collection, and more accurate targeting
through AI.
Erik Byrnjolfsson and
Andrew McAfee predicted that artificial intelligence would soon reach our
levels, and they appear to on the right track. Not long ago, AI couldn’t even
pass the visual Turing Test, with the percentages ranging from 67% accuracy to
92%, more than double the error of both humans and the BPL. Now that an AI can
pass the Turing Test, only time will tell what next breakthrough will be.
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