If you
were to pick up a random object in the room you are in odds are it says it was
made outside the U.S. I bet in 25 years if you were to pick up an object it
would read: “Designed by: XXX Company, Made By: (Insert Your Name Here)’s 3-D Printer”.
It won’t be long before 3-D printers are
found in majority of households. Sure it might take some decades for the
equipment and source materials to be priced cheaply enough to be practical; but,
it will most likely happen in our lifetimes. I see them being utilized as an
express version of Amazon. You would simply just buy a blueprint file from the manufacturer
or a third party, download, customize if you want, print, and voila the item
you wanted is ready for use in hours (or who knows maybe even minutes). This
obviously won’t be available for all items; but to start basic things such as: school
supplies, board games, phone cases could easily be printed even with the
current technology. Byung Park posted last week about a company that is
currently manufacturing 3-D dresses. With 3-D printing expanding into more
fields and becoming more applicable every day; it raises the question of how
online piracy will affect its future.
Currently,
almost everything in digital form can be pirated and gotten for free. While the
war on piracy continues to this today, it has definitely quieted down from
before. Two years ago, the internet exploded with resistance to two legislative
acts that would censor the web and significantly impact people’s ability to
pirate. SOPA and PIPA were both, thankfully, stopped before they could cause
any damage. After that the pirating websites got some breathing room as
governments backed off. Recently, one of the most used pirating sites, The
Pirate Bay, was taken down. Nevertheless, just like SOPA and PIPA were
defeated; Pirate Bay has been revived and is back to its former glory. As the
fight continues, it is clear that internet piracy isn't going anywhere. So how
will this gradually increasing activity impact the future of household 3-D printing?
As of
this moment I see 3 possibilities that might be used to deal with piracy in 3-D
printing. First, companies could decide that pirating doesn't resolve in that
much lost revenue and that they should just leave it alone. This would be the
optimal situation, and would save the companies and government much time and
headaches. Or they can do the complete opposite, and decide that pirating
results in too much lost revenue and the best way to avoid is to not sell their
blue prints online. This is probably the least likely of the scenarios. It
would require all companies of a certain product to agree not to publish
anything online; otherwise, if 1 publishes the rest will have to do the same to
stay competitive. Also the high demand for convenience will probably never let
the second scenario stay relevant for a long time. Lastly, the manufactures can
try and fight piracy like Hollywood did with SOPA and PIPA. This to me is the
scariest scenario and the most probable. This time the government won’t be
pressured by Hollywood to pass the bills, instead it will be by every
manufacturing giant that has 3-D printed products. Not only will the majority of
the business world be pressuring the government so will the prospect of not
heavily relying on any other country for manufacturing. And I fear that
prospect, more than anything, will push the U.S. government into passing
anti-piracy laws when that time comes. While we can enjoy our online freedoms
currently; it is possible that increased online pirating now, will lead to a
highly restrained web in the future.
This is an interesting insight into a potential piracy issue. I definitely see that pirating 3D blueprints will become a major issue, and I highly doubt that the companies and governments would allow such piracy to run rampant. The revenue lost from pirated blueprints will probably be enough to send them into passing anti-piracy laws once 3D printing technology becomes a common household appliance. After seeing how they're failing to shut down Pirate Bay, I'm guessing that the government and companies will increase efforts to restrict pirating and create harsher penalties for pirates. But I suppose only time will tell.
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